Where are the numbers? by Norman Fenton and Martin Neil

Where are the numbers? by Norman Fenton and Martin Neil

On conflicting polling results

A causal Bayesian explanation and method for handling conflicts

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Norman Fenton
Sep 07, 2024
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This is an extensively updated version of an article previously published on my personal blog.

Conflicting polls observed

An article by Daniel Jupp last month noted an astonishing difference between what most polls on the US Election were reporting compared to that of a Rasmussen poll:

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