Updating our own priors to accommodate new evidence

Revisiting our published work on covid infection prevalence and fatality rates from May 2020

Martin Neil

and

Norman Fenton

Jan 30, 2024

∙ Paid

158

In May 2020 we published one of our first papers on covid-19, in the Journal of Risk Research. Given it isn’t a medical, biological or epidemiology journal this might look like an unusual venue for such a topic, but we published there because they were specifically looking for articles on covid ‘risk’. Also, and perhaps more importantly, we were startin…

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