Where are the numbers? by Norman Fenton and Martin Neil

Where are the numbers? by Norman Fenton and Martin Neil

Share this post

Where are the numbers? by Norman Fenton and Martin Neil
Where are the numbers? by Norman Fenton and Martin Neil
Vaccine efficacy 'cheap trick' by exclusion
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More

Vaccine efficacy 'cheap trick' by exclusion

Simply ignoring - rather than misclassifying recently vaccinated cases - also creates the illusion of efficacy.

Norman Fenton's avatar
Martin Neil's avatar
Norman Fenton
and
Martin Neil
Sep 01, 2023
∙ Paid
165

Share this post

Where are the numbers? by Norman Fenton and Martin Neil
Where are the numbers? by Norman Fenton and Martin Neil
Vaccine efficacy 'cheap trick' by exclusion
Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More
24
16
Share
Cheap Trick - Cheap Trick | Releases | Discogs

Our main simulated example of the vaccine efficacy ‘cheap trick’ was based on the assumption that those who tested positive for infection within a short period after vaccination (e.g., 7, 14 or 21 days) were classified as unvaccinated. In a typical mass (placebo) vaccine roll-out this cheap trick guarantee the illusion of efficacy starting at over 90% b…

Keep reading with a 7-day free trial

Subscribe to Where are the numbers? by Norman Fenton and Martin Neil to keep reading this post and get 7 days of free access to the full post archives.

Already a paid subscriber? Sign in
© 2025 Martin Neil and Norman Fenton
Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start writingGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture

Share

Copy link
Facebook
Email
Notes
More