An approximate analysis using minimal assumptions.
My wife received the AZ vaccine in early 2021. She had a severe adverse reaction which started approx 6 hours after the vaccination. This includes a severe headache which she described a like nothing she had experienced and had to go to bed. Forty hours later she started with a urine infection which is something she had never had before. Symptoms of fatigue and generally feeling unwell lasted for another two weeks. I filled in a Yellow Card on my wife’s behalf report & she reported the reaction to her GP who dismissed everything as “coincidence”. The next bit is anecdotal but my wife started to win far fewer Scrabble games. We even joked about the AZ affecting her brain (specifically the language centres). In November 2022 my wife was diagnosed with an aggressive malignant brain tumour in the left hand side of her brain (language centres) and died in January 2023. Is this another coincidence? I guess I will never know. In terms of background I am an retired health psychologist with 30 years plus working in the NHS. Thankfully, I remain stubbornly unvaccinated.
Come up with an injectable agent that subverts human cellular replicating machinery into producing cells with genetically altered viral components and do it at WARP SPEED! What could possibly go wrong?
The Yellow Card system is a passive monitoring system by government choice. On behalf of the government, the Royal College of GPs Research and Surveillance Centre at Oxford University runs active monitoring of respiratory viruses, such as influenza and SARA CoV 2. Active monitoring of all vaccines would expose the dirty secret of modern medicine that vaccines are not the ‘safe and effective’ miracle popular myth holds them to be. So long as doctors, bureaucrats and other well-meaning health practitioners believe vaccines are a miracle, they will go knees to chest to suppress anything ‘anti-vax’ in the false belief they are doing good.
Why not look at deaths in the LEAST BIASED source of data: the Pfizer and Moderna "gold standard" randomized double-blind clinical trials? The Pfizer and Moderna clinical trials BOTH had a 15-17% increase in non-COVID deaths, and specifically a 40-50% increase in cardiovascular-related deaths, with vaccine versus placebo.
Pfizer: https://www.nejm.org/doi/suppl/10.1056/NEJMoa2110345/suppl_file/nejmoa2110345_appendix.pdf – Table S4
Moderna: https://www.nejm.org/doi/suppl/10.1056/NEJMoa2113017/suppl_file/nejmoa2113017_appendix.pdf – Table S26
Thanks for all the fine work. Perhaps it will accelerate the very slight trend which has finally begun.
Also of note is the time-course of excess deaths, with a finding that is consistent with cremation data: deaths ran at least 10% higher after jabs rolled out than before.
Interesting that Moderna looks somewhat safer, or should I say "less unsafe", that Pfizer. Theoretically it should be the other way round because the amount of mRNA per dose is higher in Moderna (100 ug) than Pfizer (30ug). I think I also remember that the myocarditis rate is indeed higher in Moderna, but in terms of deaths, Pfizer seems to be higher. Strange.
Also I remember a news article from spring of 2021 where they paused AZ in healthcare workers because up to 25% had such serious side effects they had to call in sick for a few days which led to acute staff shortage. But they were like "everything is fine and safe and effective, we just wait until the sick colleagues recover, then we resume the injections so that the next batch of colleagues can get sick for a few days, then we pause again and so on and so forth". Great strategy. Mass Formation Psychosis.
Of the three couple we hang out with...all jabbed....here is the scenario.
All couple are late sixties to mid 70s...and were all healthy before the jabs.
One of the gals....cancer and post jab covid.
All in fact have had covid and or pneumonia post jab.
One of the guys....pacemaker installed, with serious bouts of covid and pneumonia.
Another of the ladies...energy depletion to the point of getting an ECG.
Another of the guys....drop in energy...an ever increasing limp.
None of them will connect any dots...except the bandaids on their arms might connect as they cover up syringe dots.
In Germany, the doctors must report any suspected vaccine damage. It pays them nothing and takes about 45 minutes per case though.
Resulting in what happened recently to a friend who now suspects that she is vaxx damaged and articulated this to her doctor: he screamed at her and threw her out of his practice.
The knowledge and fear of personal liability in case that damage was established is certainly an additional factor for such now common, most despicable and deeply unethical behaviour by so-called doctors.
Anecdotal evidence isn't scientific. But my sister, fully vaccinated + boosted died Boxing Day of 'a sudden cardiac event' on the death certificate. It was a sudden death. She was fine on Christmas Day- it was like so many other SADS - she just keeled over. No autopsy and I didn't try recording it on the Yellow card - yet another no recorded death. I'm convinced she was killed by the vaccine but it will not be included in the data. BTW a minor point, but as someone unvaccinated, I caught Covid Jan 22. As I was on the ONS survey, my latest (last blood test) Mar 23 showed antibodies for Covid19. Natural immunity is always the best. Keep up the good work. Data won't persuade the Covid faithful, but it's vital that we have that data and analysis. Thanks.
RIGHT on the vaccination card. "You will have the best protection from 2 doses". Has no one sued due to this blatantly false statement yet?
Why would you expect a physician, pharmacist or nurse who adminstered a mRNA injection that caused death report that they were an instrument of death? In most cases there is a delayed immune system response that takes MANY different forms. Most deaths don't happen 5 minutes after the deadly shot is adminstered. Days and weeks or months are more likely. Dr. David Kessler, the FDA Commissioner (A GOOD Guy) revamped the ADR system IN 1993 and stated that only 1% of adverse reactions are reported. A factor of 100. More likley, a factor of 20 means that the VAERS reports x 20 = 640,000 deaths from the injection with a patient base of 200 + million getting the shots. Statiscally, in the minds of the medicine man that is less than .3% and is acceptable because they prevented great harm with then injections. Necessary collateral Damage! FALSEHOOD! Tell that to the famalies who lost a loved one! The push to convince humanity that these injections that reprogram normal cellular function is good is not abating! https://thomasabraunrph.substack.com/p/battle-for-your-brain
We'll probably never know the true numbers. They were calling a SIDS death and a choking death Covid. Things like that just 'muddy the waters.'
Hugely important calculation. Indeed, it has been for a while now, and I find that there are remarkably few credible sceptics who have performed it. So thank you wholeheartedly.
One minor thing, though: I am fairly certain that the under-reporting factor is correctly defined as the number to multiply reported adverse events with (after cleaning up the false positives) in order to calculate the true number of adverse events. Thus, I would suggest that you write "only 10% of all vaccine deaths are reported then the under-reporting factor is 10" instead of "[...] then the under-reporting factor is 10%". I do hope I am not wrong about this.
In case you might be interested, I did a similar calculation, with more assumptions but always choosing to go the generous way, for children. I chose not to clean up the false positives because it appears to me that doing so is actually too generous for the simple reason that any URF already takes them into account. In other words: URFs are the ratio of true events to reported events, including false positives.
Peter Halligan has also committed significant effort to this topic.
Small nitpick:"...is mediated by the MRNA vaccines means..." it should be "mRNA".
Thank you for your excellent work Prof. Fenton. Yes, people do not want to hear or consider that they were wrong, that they were victims of a medical experiment and thus no more than a lab rat. This has been true for many things since after WWII. Who would want to know that their government was recruiting high level members of the NSDAP, the SS, the SD or the Gestapo, like the British government did with Operation APPLE PIE (https://archive.org/details/apple-pie_202302 ; the Brits asked the US to join their efforts). Who would want to know that the US made the "Aufklärung Fremde Heere Ost" under Hitler into the new German Foreign Secret Service "Bundesnachrichtendienst, BND" (Eberhard Blum was president of the BND from 1982-1985, he was Reinhard Gehlens personal advisor from 1947 onward) (https://archive.org/details/CIAANDTHEORIGINSOFTHEBND1945-49VOL1-0001 and https://archive.org/details/CIAAndTheOriginsOfTheBND1949-1956/CiaAndTheOriginsOfTheBnd1949-56Vol.1_0001/). Who would want to know that the US High Commissioner John J. McCloy released Otto Ambros, sentenced to the highest prison term for "mass murder and slavery" in the Nuremberg Trials, after two years, letting him become a consultant to the US Army, the US Energy Department, numerous American chemical companies, the first Chancellor of Germany Konrad Adenauer and continue his work on Thalidomide. He was just one of hundreds of thousands Nazis who were on the payroll of the Allies after WWII, be it working for the US, Britain, France or Germany.
In "unrelated" news: Right now Substack seems to have some financial troubles, the Wayback Machine is being sued, there are concerted efforts to grow the Fact-Checker community (Poynter Institute and Google). In Germany it is the dpa, founded in 1949 (and who knows how many Nazi propagandists made it big time there? in 1965 for instance the Indonesia-correspondent of the Süddeutsche Zeitung was Rudolf Oebsger-Röder (former SS-Obersturmbannführer), now actually trying to appeal to 15-18 year olds to become the fact-checkers of tomorrow. Is it coincidence, that the impressionable youth is being targeted (https://www.dhm.de/lemo/bestand/objekt/ju001747 and https://www.dhm.de/lemo/bestand/objekt/offiziere-von-morgen-1940.html)?
The virus was likely made in a lab, the "vaccines" were cobbled together, Israel made a special deal with Pfizer that no other country made, making their population into the perfect lab rats... Jews being experimented on... and still, "no one" cares.
People do not want to hear "bad news", they just want to go on with their lives.
I almost forgot to mention, most have heard of Event 201, but only few have heard of the SPARS -Pandemic 2025-2028 tabletop exercise which made some odd choices in 2015-2017 to train communicators to deal with a Pandemic, where the pathogen is a coronavirus, even though back then everyone was betting on influenza to be the next big one, the mortality rate was wrongly projected to be high, though it was actually low, the Pandemic would come in a time where presidents would switch but the team dealing with the Pandemic would stay on board, a drug was identified to be used as a vaccine which was already known to have severe side effects, the manufacturer of that new vaccine was was completely indemnified from any liability. Oh and there was a Expert Working Group from the industry that was heavily involved in the creation of said exercise.
And I have not even touched on the "curious" "terror" attacks since late 2001...
Thank you. My own fit and healthy sister dropped down dead in August 2022. Had had 3 jabs. Post Mortem talked of "myocardial foci". Feel sure jab contributed to her death. Was telling a neighbour, NHS nurse, the night after she died. Was she jabbed, she asked. When told yes, she replied "oh we call them Covax deaths "