"You take it and a year goes by and everybody's fine. And then you say, "okay, that's good, let's give it to 500 people. And then a year goes by and anybody's fine. So then you say, 'well now, let's give it to thousands of people' And then you find out it takes 12 years for all hell to break loose. And then, what have you done?" —Fauci on the AIDS vaccine, 1999
So, regarding the warp speed COVID vaccine:
Rushed, guaranteed to succeed, corruptly tested, experimental injection? ✓
That killed and maimed well-over a thousand people during the severely abbreviated post trial phase? ✓
And also caused 23 spontaneous abortions and 75 serious clinical events from 270 expectant mothers during said post trial? ✓
Using a highly dangerous mRNA tech that in the past killed every mouse with ADE? ✓
A tech previously untested on humans, the emergency usage of which upended over a century of vaccine safety and efficacy research? ✓
For a virus far less deadly than the lockdowns themselves? ✓
Also less deadly than the flu - which conveniently went AWOL when COVID hit the scene? ✓
For a (cold) virus they’ve been unable to cure after over a century of trying? ✓
But somehow all of a sudden, the criminal pharmaceutical companies - notorious for rampant felonious trial fraud - figured it out in less than a year? ✓
And then went on to manufacture billions of quality assured, safe and effective doses at record speed which were then lawfully distributed by the US military? ✓
People actually bought into this on a grand scale, and voluntarily injected this poison? ✓
The information above is what everyone in the first world had access to - either before the injection was unleashed on the public or shortly thereafter with the release of the Pfizer trial adverse event data (which they tried to hide for 55 years) - and yet many still eagerly lined up and took it in droves.
The myriad of egregious problems associated with the COVID injections were as clear as day, easily accessible, self-evident, went against any and all rational thought, could not stand up to ANY scrutiny, and yet all of that still didn't matter.
There's also no mechanism by which serum antibodies prevent mucosal infection. That job goes to secretory igA, Nk cells and Tcells...Claiming intramuscular shots prevent infection is an outright lie and claiming reduced severity is also dubious as most of the infection is dealt with in the mucosa (unless there is viremia).
Healthy user bias and confounding by contraindication strike big in this booster study.
“This corresponds to a 94.8% lower mortality not related to Covid-19 among participants in the booster group and indicates a markedly lower incidence of adverse health outcomes in the booster group.”
When questioned, the authors admitted, “The policy in Israel prioritized the administration of boosters to persons in the community setting who were at the highest risk. However, boosters were generally not administered to hospitalized patients who were at high risk for death from any cause.”
So technically, at least part of this I think is best called "confounding by contraindication".
3. The CDC did their own study long back that said in every age group vaccinated people had 60 to 70% lower non-covid mortality than the unvaccinated. Can find it if needed.
4, The pervasive pattern is vaccinated have lower background mortality. I am doubtful we need to worry about the second bias, IMO. At least in cohort studies. Or so my 3am brain tells me.
What happens when you factor in the little game they played with classifications? The one so fraudulent and despicable that it took me nearly a month of constantly second guessing myself before I was able to mention it out loud. I couldn’t believe anyone would actually give people a shot and count them as unvaccinated for 14 days, 21 days in Scotland, because it “hadn’t kicked it yet”. No one would dare classify medical treatment that way, and an experimental treatment at that! And yet “public health” officials across the globe, almost to an individual, somehow made the same, wildly deceptive, fraudulent classification. Authorities maintained 5x more classifications for people who refused a shot!
So, I wonder how that factors into these studies. This practice continued through each booster too. Some places would drop a booster recipient back to ‘Unvaccinated’ for their 14 day evasion period while others would basically leave the person at their previous booster level for the 14 days.
How often do we have to be warned about the "Stove" being hot before we decide not to sit on it, for anyone with a 1/4 of a brain once? Here is a statistic to chew on: if you contracted the COVID-19 flu bug, you had a 98% Chance of survival. The question you have to ask yourself is: why would I get a bio-weapon jab for something that has not been tested as safe and effective? Finally, I know eight people (youngest 30 Y.O.) who died suddenly from this poison!
I believe the stat is even higher than 98%. No one thinks critically anymore. My lifelong mistrust of the gov’t saved me from being jabbed. That and my common sense along with my refusal to watch tv! Biggest waste of time ever!!!
Well I prefer to look at real life examples and what’s happening around me. If it looks like a duck, walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, it’s a duck!
Absolutely 100% Patti; like Forest Gump says; stupid is as stupid does! I personally know of 8 people that died suddenly! I know they didn't fake their deaths or wanted to die. Youngest is 30 and the family is forever torn apart! I'm sure anyone reading this comment does not want to bury their child!
"There are three kinds of lies: Lies, Damned Lies and Statistics" (Mark Twain and/or Disraeli).
I find this all very complicated. Would it not work by simply taking a bunch of similar aged and healthy youngish people and seeing if they start dying after the jabs? Healthy young people never used to die a lot (unlike old people) and you could exclude the ones with pre-existing life-threatening conditions.
Obviously, that is a suggestion from someone who got thrown out of their maths 'O' level class back in the day and struggles to even recite telephone numbers!!!!
I do enjoy your articles though because they make me concentrate!
A bit off the subject, but here goes. Why do domesticated (and maybe agricultural?) animals get more lumps, bumps and diseases now than in the past? Why is there “pet health insurance”? These things were practically unheard of six decades ago.
Yes, I am! I have been honored to work with children and families (pre-birth(Doula), NICU, 0-3, school age, to transition) to navigate the challenges of these special souls.
Have you ever heard of Suzy Miller, SLP and Awesomism? It is a lovely way to understand special lives from a spiritual perspective. I also (2 minutes ago) found a youtube by Sandie Sedgbeer. I haven't listened yet, but follow your heart!
I will check both out. I was a fearsome advocate for many many years and tried every therapy under the Sun. Now I just enjoy my son as he is! Thank you for what you do!
Totally! I realized eventually, we are ALL in our perfection. I no longer have to “rescue” children, I just need to love them. I now do energy work and wrote a children’s book.
As soon as I learned that IVERMECTIN had been hidden from public awareness in order to justify the 'instantly available' injection that pretended was a 'vaccine', I knew there was a PLOT!
Then I realised that IVM had been proven SAFE for decades - for many viral health issues, my suspicions doubled.
Then I learned that IVERMECTIN had been recommended by the (previously honest) WHO for every country to hold stock of IVM and called it "one of the most important 'TOP 50 must-have medicines'.
Then I discovered Bih Pharma could not release the 'instantly invented' vaccines IF another Covid medicine was already available - and immediately IVM was made to disappear with the 'Establishment' pretending that "IVM is for HORSES" in spite of its prior history and successful performances, the pieces seemed to fall into place.
Then I found out that IF ANOTHER anti-viral medicine already existed, Big Pharma could not be awarded an 'EMERGENCY USE AUTHORISATION' (EUA). The plot thickened still further.
Then I found the data from WHO & CDC proving that in 2020 Influenza suddenly disappeared, only to mysteriously reappear in 2021. I sniffed a 'RAT'.
Then I learned many diseases were occurring in athletes and sports participants, inexplicably dropping dead on playing fields. stadiums and arenas. This has become the 'verboten' subject called EXCESS DEATHS that nobody is allowed to mention.
Then there was insane reliance on these new unproven injections, but, amazingly, every government seemed keen to invest in the 'EXPERIMENT' which was designed to destroy their Nation's financial stability by buying millions of these untried, unsafe, 'EXPERIMENTAL' unwarranted and useless injections even though the makers Contractually DENIED ALL LIABILITY for Injuries and DEATHS which frequently followed the use of this 'EXPERIMENTAL' concoction. 'Frequently' is now described as "very rare"?
Doesn't really take a rocket scientist to work out this injection was a well-organised depopulation SCAM. Then I noticed that Excess Deaths that followed these unsafe and Ineffective jabs were being hidden or simply ignored, while the makers of these dangerous jabs rolled in their fortunes with no consequences and absolutely NO LIABILITY! I thought 'this is somewhat suspicious'.
that was early in 2020 and the DEATH CULL has continued for nearly FOUR YERARS and still everybody seems to enjoy hiding their heads in the sand while MILLIONS DIE or are injured by this poison that seems to do NOTHING to Stop, reduce, limit of save anybody from Fauci's man-modified Bat virus they named covid. This virus was created by modifying viruses using 'Bio-weapon' experiments called Gain of Function, to find how dangerous could they modify a virus to impact the health of humans.
These are the reasonable stages of studying the history and origination of the Depopulation Plan, which nearly 75% of the world's population seemed to believe was 'for their own good'. I'm totally staggered at how stupid 'man' can be!
The next stage of this war against normal human beings has been revealed by the World Health Organisation and some of its evil benefactors. Bill Gates has become the biggest contributor to the World Health Organisation and now controls their activities and Policies. Gates, a big investor in VAX, has stated; "The next one will really get their attention". He wants the final 25% of humans jabbed up so they are reliant on poisonous injections and will then suffer, at best, SHORTENED LIFE EXPECTANCY!
It has been revealed that these new EXPERIMENTAL injections, which were created at unrealistic speed, modify human DNA by design. All recipients have now been IRREVERSIBLY Genetically Modified.
Good luck to the 75% that believed the hype about, what turns out to be, a Cull of humanity to reduce Global Warming.
Is there ANY rational (= scientific) non-statistical explanation why a statistician would deliberately use their numbers and methods to lie (= create interpretations of the data that they know are not true)?
If there is no explanation, shouldn’t we assume a working hypothesis that statistics is a tool to create false representations of facts? At face value, in common sense, without specific data, this statement is 50% true.
If that is the case, should 50% be a sufficient threshold to draw 100% “right” conclusions?
The problem is that many of the people writing up the studies (or reporting on the results without reading the details) are not even aware of the statistical biases
I believe that when you are a statistician, you constantly query because you do not want to fool yourself or reason towards an outcome. You at all times want to be correct, rather than right. Thanks for this clear explanation prof Fenton.
I needed 2 hours to understand this. As I read in numerous studies, the authors provide the stats, which (I presume) means that the approach, calculation and conclusions are done or authorized by them (PHDs, doctors, etc.). Their conclusions are then used by decision makers to do something, usually population-wide, which means millions of people.
It appears the the fate of millions is dependent on the education system that teaches future experts/professionals how to work with numbers. Like with the drivers: which side of the street and in which direction you need to drive if you want to achieve a desired result (say, a dinner at home, and not resuscitation at the crossroads).
If these professionals are not aware of statistical biases, it sounds like teaching a soldier how to throw a grenade: pull the pin, throw. Throw something, the pin or the grenade. Throw any direction you want, just throw. Don’t analyze what you do. We (your instructors) won’t analyze, either.
And the dessert is that thousands of professionals educated like that observe this, or even follow the advice based on this, and keep their brain cells switched off. I refuse to believe this (my belief bias).
Here is an alternative argument:
"You take it and a year goes by and everybody's fine. And then you say, "okay, that's good, let's give it to 500 people. And then a year goes by and anybody's fine. So then you say, 'well now, let's give it to thousands of people' And then you find out it takes 12 years for all hell to break loose. And then, what have you done?" —Fauci on the AIDS vaccine, 1999
So, regarding the warp speed COVID vaccine:
Rushed, guaranteed to succeed, corruptly tested, experimental injection? ✓
That killed and maimed well-over a thousand people during the severely abbreviated post trial phase? ✓
And also caused 23 spontaneous abortions and 75 serious clinical events from 270 expectant mothers during said post trial? ✓
Using a highly dangerous mRNA tech that in the past killed every mouse with ADE? ✓
A tech previously untested on humans, the emergency usage of which upended over a century of vaccine safety and efficacy research? ✓
For a virus far less deadly than the lockdowns themselves? ✓
Also less deadly than the flu - which conveniently went AWOL when COVID hit the scene? ✓
For a (cold) virus they’ve been unable to cure after over a century of trying? ✓
But somehow all of a sudden, the criminal pharmaceutical companies - notorious for rampant felonious trial fraud - figured it out in less than a year? ✓
And then went on to manufacture billions of quality assured, safe and effective doses at record speed which were then lawfully distributed by the US military? ✓
People actually bought into this on a grand scale, and voluntarily injected this poison? ✓
References for all of the above here: https://tritorch.substack.com/p/the-doormats-of-the-new-world-order
The Power of Propaganda
The information above is what everyone in the first world had access to - either before the injection was unleashed on the public or shortly thereafter with the release of the Pfizer trial adverse event data (which they tried to hide for 55 years) - and yet many still eagerly lined up and took it in droves.
The myriad of egregious problems associated with the COVID injections were as clear as day, easily accessible, self-evident, went against any and all rational thought, could not stand up to ANY scrutiny, and yet all of that still didn't matter.
Same with masks and lockdowns.
There's also no mechanism by which serum antibodies prevent mucosal infection. That job goes to secretory igA, Nk cells and Tcells...Claiming intramuscular shots prevent infection is an outright lie and claiming reduced severity is also dubious as most of the infection is dealt with in the mucosa (unless there is viremia).
THIS! been saying this from the beginning. Nice summary
Brilliant examples! I love your intellectual honesty.
And, your crisp, clear explanations!
A reminder there were no actuaries on SAGE?
1. Maybe they already do age adjustments or age matching that address the second bias?
2. Of relevance:
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2306683
https://vinayprasadmdmph.substack.com/p/boosters-studies-from-israel-that
Healthy user bias and confounding by contraindication strike big in this booster study.
“This corresponds to a 94.8% lower mortality not related to Covid-19 among participants in the booster group and indicates a markedly lower incidence of adverse health outcomes in the booster group.”
When questioned, the authors admitted, “The policy in Israel prioritized the administration of boosters to persons in the community setting who were at the highest risk. However, boosters were generally not administered to hospitalized patients who were at high risk for death from any cause.”
So technically, at least part of this I think is best called "confounding by contraindication".
3. The CDC did their own study long back that said in every age group vaccinated people had 60 to 70% lower non-covid mortality than the unvaccinated. Can find it if needed.
4, The pervasive pattern is vaccinated have lower background mortality. I am doubtful we need to worry about the second bias, IMO. At least in cohort studies. Or so my 3am brain tells me.
What happens when you factor in the little game they played with classifications? The one so fraudulent and despicable that it took me nearly a month of constantly second guessing myself before I was able to mention it out loud. I couldn’t believe anyone would actually give people a shot and count them as unvaccinated for 14 days, 21 days in Scotland, because it “hadn’t kicked it yet”. No one would dare classify medical treatment that way, and an experimental treatment at that! And yet “public health” officials across the globe, almost to an individual, somehow made the same, wildly deceptive, fraudulent classification. Authorities maintained 5x more classifications for people who refused a shot!
So, I wonder how that factors into these studies. This practice continued through each booster too. Some places would drop a booster recipient back to ‘Unvaccinated’ for their 14 day evasion period while others would basically leave the person at their previous booster level for the 14 days.
How often do we have to be warned about the "Stove" being hot before we decide not to sit on it, for anyone with a 1/4 of a brain once? Here is a statistic to chew on: if you contracted the COVID-19 flu bug, you had a 98% Chance of survival. The question you have to ask yourself is: why would I get a bio-weapon jab for something that has not been tested as safe and effective? Finally, I know eight people (youngest 30 Y.O.) who died suddenly from this poison!
I believe the stat is even higher than 98%. No one thinks critically anymore. My lifelong mistrust of the gov’t saved me from being jabbed. That and my common sense along with my refusal to watch tv! Biggest waste of time ever!!!
Yeah 98% is across every age group, average age of someone dying of or with is 83
Again another lesson from the master, step by step.
Well I prefer to look at real life examples and what’s happening around me. If it looks like a duck, walks like a duck and quacks like a duck, it’s a duck!
Absolutely 100% Patti; like Forest Gump says; stupid is as stupid does! I personally know of 8 people that died suddenly! I know they didn't fake their deaths or wanted to die. Youngest is 30 and the family is forever torn apart! I'm sure anyone reading this comment does not want to bury their child!
"There are three kinds of lies: Lies, Damned Lies and Statistics" (Mark Twain and/or Disraeli).
I find this all very complicated. Would it not work by simply taking a bunch of similar aged and healthy youngish people and seeing if they start dying after the jabs? Healthy young people never used to die a lot (unlike old people) and you could exclude the ones with pre-existing life-threatening conditions.
Obviously, that is a suggestion from someone who got thrown out of their maths 'O' level class back in the day and struggles to even recite telephone numbers!!!!
I do enjoy your articles though because they make me concentrate!
Same idea works for deaths after a cruise, including with passengers who were all on the same boat.
Diamond Princess, anyone?
A bit off the subject, but here goes. Why do domesticated (and maybe agricultural?) animals get more lumps, bumps and diseases now than in the past? Why is there “pet health insurance”? These things were practically unheard of six decades ago.
Vaccines!
As one of my precious, 7 year old autistic students would exclaim when finding a solution..."You win a brand new jacuzzi!"
Awww you’re one of my people! My 32 year old severely disabled precious son has autism.
Yes, I am! I have been honored to work with children and families (pre-birth(Doula), NICU, 0-3, school age, to transition) to navigate the challenges of these special souls.
Have you ever heard of Suzy Miller, SLP and Awesomism? It is a lovely way to understand special lives from a spiritual perspective. I also (2 minutes ago) found a youtube by Sandie Sedgbeer. I haven't listened yet, but follow your heart!
I will check both out. I was a fearsome advocate for many many years and tried every therapy under the Sun. Now I just enjoy my son as he is! Thank you for what you do!
Totally! I realized eventually, we are ALL in our perfection. I no longer have to “rescue” children, I just need to love them. I now do energy work and wrote a children’s book.
Thank you for your post and comparisons.
As soon as I learned that IVERMECTIN had been hidden from public awareness in order to justify the 'instantly available' injection that pretended was a 'vaccine', I knew there was a PLOT!
Then I realised that IVM had been proven SAFE for decades - for many viral health issues, my suspicions doubled.
Then I learned that IVERMECTIN had been recommended by the (previously honest) WHO for every country to hold stock of IVM and called it "one of the most important 'TOP 50 must-have medicines'.
Then I discovered Bih Pharma could not release the 'instantly invented' vaccines IF another Covid medicine was already available - and immediately IVM was made to disappear with the 'Establishment' pretending that "IVM is for HORSES" in spite of its prior history and successful performances, the pieces seemed to fall into place.
Then I found out that IF ANOTHER anti-viral medicine already existed, Big Pharma could not be awarded an 'EMERGENCY USE AUTHORISATION' (EUA). The plot thickened still further.
Then I found the data from WHO & CDC proving that in 2020 Influenza suddenly disappeared, only to mysteriously reappear in 2021. I sniffed a 'RAT'.
Then I learned many diseases were occurring in athletes and sports participants, inexplicably dropping dead on playing fields. stadiums and arenas. This has become the 'verboten' subject called EXCESS DEATHS that nobody is allowed to mention.
Then there was insane reliance on these new unproven injections, but, amazingly, every government seemed keen to invest in the 'EXPERIMENT' which was designed to destroy their Nation's financial stability by buying millions of these untried, unsafe, 'EXPERIMENTAL' unwarranted and useless injections even though the makers Contractually DENIED ALL LIABILITY for Injuries and DEATHS which frequently followed the use of this 'EXPERIMENTAL' concoction. 'Frequently' is now described as "very rare"?
Doesn't really take a rocket scientist to work out this injection was a well-organised depopulation SCAM. Then I noticed that Excess Deaths that followed these unsafe and Ineffective jabs were being hidden or simply ignored, while the makers of these dangerous jabs rolled in their fortunes with no consequences and absolutely NO LIABILITY! I thought 'this is somewhat suspicious'.
that was early in 2020 and the DEATH CULL has continued for nearly FOUR YERARS and still everybody seems to enjoy hiding their heads in the sand while MILLIONS DIE or are injured by this poison that seems to do NOTHING to Stop, reduce, limit of save anybody from Fauci's man-modified Bat virus they named covid. This virus was created by modifying viruses using 'Bio-weapon' experiments called Gain of Function, to find how dangerous could they modify a virus to impact the health of humans.
These are the reasonable stages of studying the history and origination of the Depopulation Plan, which nearly 75% of the world's population seemed to believe was 'for their own good'. I'm totally staggered at how stupid 'man' can be!
The next stage of this war against normal human beings has been revealed by the World Health Organisation and some of its evil benefactors. Bill Gates has become the biggest contributor to the World Health Organisation and now controls their activities and Policies. Gates, a big investor in VAX, has stated; "The next one will really get their attention". He wants the final 25% of humans jabbed up so they are reliant on poisonous injections and will then suffer, at best, SHORTENED LIFE EXPECTANCY!
It has been revealed that these new EXPERIMENTAL injections, which were created at unrealistic speed, modify human DNA by design. All recipients have now been IRREVERSIBLY Genetically Modified.
Good luck to the 75% that believed the hype about, what turns out to be, a Cull of humanity to reduce Global Warming.
Mick from Hooe (UK) Unjabbed to live longer.
Posts like this just clutter up the place and are off the point, but good use of capitals but loose points as no mention of Bill Gates
Clearly, it depends on what movies you went to see.
Is there ANY rational (= scientific) non-statistical explanation why a statistician would deliberately use their numbers and methods to lie (= create interpretations of the data that they know are not true)?
If there is no explanation, shouldn’t we assume a working hypothesis that statistics is a tool to create false representations of facts? At face value, in common sense, without specific data, this statement is 50% true.
If that is the case, should 50% be a sufficient threshold to draw 100% “right” conclusions?
The problem is that many of the people writing up the studies (or reporting on the results without reading the details) are not even aware of the statistical biases
I believe that when you are a statistician, you constantly query because you do not want to fool yourself or reason towards an outcome. You at all times want to be correct, rather than right. Thanks for this clear explanation prof Fenton.
I needed 2 hours to understand this. As I read in numerous studies, the authors provide the stats, which (I presume) means that the approach, calculation and conclusions are done or authorized by them (PHDs, doctors, etc.). Their conclusions are then used by decision makers to do something, usually population-wide, which means millions of people.
It appears the the fate of millions is dependent on the education system that teaches future experts/professionals how to work with numbers. Like with the drivers: which side of the street and in which direction you need to drive if you want to achieve a desired result (say, a dinner at home, and not resuscitation at the crossroads).
If these professionals are not aware of statistical biases, it sounds like teaching a soldier how to throw a grenade: pull the pin, throw. Throw something, the pin or the grenade. Throw any direction you want, just throw. Don’t analyze what you do. We (your instructors) won’t analyze, either.
And the dessert is that thousands of professionals educated like that observe this, or even follow the advice based on this, and keep their brain cells switched off. I refuse to believe this (my belief bias).
Where possible I begrudge giving them clicks. So anyone got a link to a non-youtube version?
Our very own Math prodigy, able and willing to speak simply and clearly to those who do not have his expertise. What a gift for God to give us.