Statistical Paradoxes and Illusions

The probability of coincidences

When is a coincidence not a coincidence?

Dec 31, 2023 •

Survivor bias cuts both ways and can be erroneously used to argue both for and against vaccine safety

An example based on deadly cinema attendance

Dec 13, 2023 •

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Our Top Ten posts that you likely never saw

Although this substack was not launched until December 2022 we imported many articles from our previous blog. Here are 10 posts in chronological order…

Oct 2, 2023 •

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Vaccine efficacy 'cheap trick' by exclusion

Simply ignoring - rather than misclassifying recently vaccinated cases - also creates the illusion of efficacy.

Sep 1, 2023 •

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The Very Best of Cheap Trick.....

How widespread is the (mal)practice of miscategorising vaccination status?

Jul 29, 2023 •

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The Dark Horse Podcast reports on 'the illusion of vaccine efficacy '

In episode #179 ‘Science Strong and Fragile’ Bret Weinstein and Heather Heying discuss in depth our substack article on ‘the illusion of vaccine…

Jun 25, 2023 •

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The UK Government's flawed covid death numbers

Is everything an illusion?

Jun 12, 2023 •

The illusion of vaccine efficacy revisited

How to make a placebo look 95% effective and guarantee repeat business

May 2, 2023 •

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The bias in vaccine effectiveness studies is finally being noticed

For over two years (since the start of the covid vaccine roll-out) we have been reporting on the fact that all the observational studies claiming to…

Mar 29, 2023 •

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'Never vaccinated' vs 'Ever vaccinated' mortality rate illusion

Survivor bias and how to overcome it

Mar 21, 2023 •

How to create the illusion your vaccine is 90% effective

....even when those vaccinated get infected.

Feb 3, 2023 •

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More on the illusions of vaccine efficacy

I have previously provided examples of how the illusion of efficacy over a period of time can be created for a vaccine intended to avoid getting…

Oct 22, 2022 •

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